Writing

Insights.

Notes from eighteen months of building AI-enriched systems, every day. What holds, what breaks, and what the system needs from the model.

  1. Part 06

    Research agents find the market you send them to find

    In July I spent 1.9 billion tokens building a strategy for a market that closed years ago; the run that told me was never saved. So I built a new test: twelve models, the same brief, twice over: with one added paragraph, eleven of twelve said no. Without it, eleven of twelve handed me a go-to-market plan.

    For: anyone who delegates research to AIAlso for: boards and investors reading AI-built validations

    Eighteen months, every day

  2. Part 05

    Differentiation is dead, long live differentiation

    Eleven AI models, one open question, eleven go-to-market strategies that are in practice one document, priced at the market’s existing midpoint. An experiment in machine convergence, checked against Stockholm’s actual bakeries, and the one dividing line that holds: production versus strategy.

    For: people setting directionAlso for: marketers and strategists

    Eighteen months, every day

  3. Part 04

    What did fifty billion tokens buy?

    My AI ledger passed fifty billion tokens in one quarter, and at list price it reads like the annual AI budget of a whole company. An audit entry by entry: what each line went to, what the goal was, what came out, and why spend alone cannot tell a purchase from a leak.

    For: people setting directionAlso for: the technically curious

    Eighteen months, every day

  4. Part 03

    Is it intelligent, or is it a probability machine?

    A language model gives you the most probable continuation of what you typed. That one fact explains why it feels intelligent, why it is convincing when wrong, and why it drifts toward the obvious. What the machine is, where it breaks, and what to expect from it instead.

    For: people holding the toolsAlso for: everyone. It’s the baseline

    Eighteen months, every day

  5. Part 02

    When in Rome, search in Italian.

    A language model asks its questions in English by default, and most of the answers a European needs were never written in English. How the gap hides, what one instruction multiplied, and how to keep it closed.

    For: people holding the toolsAlso for: anyone running research agents

    Eighteen months, every day

  6. Part 01

    Everyone knows the why. Nobody knows the what.

    Established companies are spending real money on AI and getting very little back. Three mistakes keep coming round: the wrong measure, the wrong person, the wrong end. What it looks like, what it costs, and the order that actually works.

    For: people setting directionAlso for: process owners

    Eighteen months, every day

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